People have forgiven Trump in the past for the most outlandish, racist remarks and the violent events he has supported. If they can soften their stance significantly about his violent riot at the Capitol (as surveys have shown they have), they can forgive him about the Puerto Rico remarks and other racist remarks this week in time for him to win the 2024 election.
Fundamentals (Allan Lichtman model) favor Harris but technicals show Trump winning. The 'fundamentals' say Harris should win, but the 'technicals' show a big lead for Trump say two leading election watchers excerpt: "But in the 2024 race for the White House, the fundamentals and technicals are thoroughly out of whack. “We’ve never seen a disconnect like this in any modern presidential election, or maybe any presidential race ever,” declares Thomas Miller, a data scientist at Northwestern University. Miller relies on the technicals; he bases his forecasts on the betting, or predictions markets, yardsticks he rates as far more reliable, and current, than the polls. But he’s still astounded at what his numbers indicate versus where the on-the-ground messaging shows they should be––namely, why the fundamentals and technicals are telling much wildly divergent stories. His conclusion: Harris is taking the course that in the past, almost always wins. So the fundamentals show she should cruise to victory on November 5. Trump’s picked a path that almost always loses. Yet on the technicals, he’s way ahead."
The 'fundamentals' say Harris should win, but the 'technicals' show a big lead for Trump say two leading election watchers excerpt: "An outstanding predictor, Allan Lichtman who’s almost always right, is lashed to the fundamentals. Another great forecaster who admires Lichtman’s work, Thomas Miller, is sticking with the technicals. We won’t know until late on November 5 at the earliest which of the two models that almost always agree and this time stand in stark conflict, will prove correct."
Trump says he's the opposite of a Nazi and Harris is a fascist. https://www.cnn.com/2024/10/28/politics/donald-trump-kamala-harris-fascist/index.html
Trump has inflicted an October surprise onto himself. He has put his golden foot into his mouth again. Opinion: Trump's racist Madison Square Garden rally was everything America shouldn't be excerpt: "So now there’s a week left in which Republicans will be fully defined by this hateful buffoon, by this convicted felon they willingly joined for a lengthy drag through the mud. The party showed America and the world, clear as day, that it’s a big tent shy of a circus. In total, it was more than five hours of anger, conspiracies, veiled and not-at-all veiled racism, and growling, low-brow nonsense. It was a look down the pit of shame the Republican Party has lowered itself into with its slavish devotion to Trump. It was, objectively, a political disaster, alienating huge swaths of voters, from the Puerto Rican community to the Black community to the “people who don’t think horrible people should get elected” community."
Donald Trump’s New York Rally Has Been Condemned. I Saw Something Different From Most. excerpt: "It’s exhausting indeed that this is the third fucking time we have to do this, but don’t think too hard about it, because there might be a fourth, or a fifth. When Trump dies, there will likely be someone a lot like him ready to take his place. We will always be here, trying, but so will everyone else, in their own efforts to make that growth so much harder."
Article from April 2021. New probe confirms Trump officials blocked Puerto Rico from receiving hurricane aid excerpt: "Seven months after the probe was launched, two top HUD officials admitted to knowingly missing the congressionally mandated deadline to issue a notice that would have unlocked billions in federal recovery funds to Puerto Rico. Carson later defended his agency's actions by echoing Trump talking points — citing concerns about corruption, fiscal irregularities and "Puerto Rico's capacity to manage these funds." Throughout his term, Trump repeatedly opposed disaster funding for Puerto Rico while disputing and failing to acknowledge Maria's death toll. Trump had also told top White House officials "that he did not want a single dollar going to Puerto Rico," the Washington Post reported in 2019. "Instead, he wanted more of the money to go to Texas and Florida.""
Steve Bannon has been released from prison. He served a four-month sentence for defying a subpoena from Congress. He was found guilty of two counts of contempt. Steve Bannon released from prison after serving contempt of Congress sentence
Trump wants all of his perceived enemies out of the country, and the list is growing. 'Get the hell out of here' has become his mantra. https://www.npr.org/2024/10/28/nx-s1-5164570/trump-rally-speech-2024-election excerpt: Trump has always pushed the envelope of acceptable speech from a politician, but in recent weeks he’s become more vulgar in his anecdotes and attacks. "We can't stand you,” he said of Harris in Latrobe, Pa. “You're a sh** vice president ... The worst. You're the worst vice president. Kamala, you're fired. Get the hell out of here!”
Trump's 2024 rallies. Low-energy, de-focused, pronunciation-challenged, music-swaying, late-starting, and increasingly bigoted and racist. https://www.npr.org/2024/10/28/nx-s1-5164570/trump-rally-speech-2024-election excerpt: "When ad-libbing about a visit to a McDonald’s where he served food to supporters in a campaign stunt meant to attack Vice President Harris, he couldn’t remember the word fryer. “And those French fries were good, they were great,” he said. “They were right out of the ... they were right out of whatever the hell they may come out of.” In Prescott Valley, Ariz., an attempt to recognize a group of Assyrian supporters went seriously awry when he welcomed what sounded like “Azur-Asians.”"
The 'fundamentals' say Harris should win, but the 'technicals' show a big lead for Trump say two leading election watchers excerpt: "Miller says that while the macro numbers look good, Americans don’t feel good, so the situation that usually helps the party in the White House is now doing just the opposite, imposing a heavy drag for the VP. “The message from the Democratic Party is that GDP is growing strongly, unemployment is low, inflation is coming down,” he declares. “They spotlight all these good indices. But most people don’t think about GDP or that prices aren’t rising as fast as before. They think about how they have to work two jobs to get by, or that their grocery bills jumped hugely under Biden, and that they have no savings and because of high interest rates, can’t afford a mortgage to buy a first home or trade in the old car for a new one.” So “not in recession” gets swamped by the dollar squeeze in their own lives."
Daughter of G.W. Bush campaigns for Harris. Barbara Pierce Bush endorses Kamala Harris, campaigns for Democratic ticket
Trump calls his Madison Square Garden rally a love fest (the same description he has given his insurrection at the Capitol). More outrage after Trump calls controversial New York rally ‘a lovefest’ excerpt: “There was love in the room. The love in that room was breathtaking,” Trump said. “Politicians that have been doing this for a long time – 30 and 40 years – said there’s never been an event so beautiful,” he added. “It was like a love fest, an absolute love fest, and it was my honour to be involved”.
'Unwell' Donald Trump Shows Up 1 Hour and 20 Minutes Late to His Press Conference at Mar-a-Lago, Refuses to Take Any Questions By:Jaclyn Roth Oct. 29 2024, Published 4:40 p.m. ET 'Unwell' Donald Trump Shows Up 1 Hour and 20 Minutes Late to His Press Conference at Mar-a-Lago, Refuses to Take Any Questions
Trump's social media company is now worth more than Musk's X after recent surge in stock price excerpt: "The stock of Trump Media, or TMTG, tends to move more with Trump’s re-election odds than on its own profit prospects and investors have seen his chances of retaking the presidency improving of late. On Tuesday, the stock rose almost 9% to close at $51.51, on top of a 21.6% gain Monday. The stock was moving so sharply that trading was briefly halted several times during the morning. The stock had dropped to roughly $12 late last month."
Biden couldn't keep his mouth closed. https://www.cnn.com/2024/10/30/politics/biden-garbage-gaffe-analysis/index.html excerpt: Just when Harris’ team wanted to keep the attention on Trump’s Madison Square Garden rally, which played into her contrast message on Tuesday night, the president handed Harris a political mess. She’s now almost certain to be asked whether she also regards Trump’s backers as “garbage.” Her answer will only prolong the story. The former president is also likely to seize on the gaffe to argue that Democrats view working Americans in the heartland with contempt. A Trump fundraising email Tuesday evening read: “FIRST Hillary called you a DEPLORABLE! THEN they called you a FASCIST! And moments ago Kamala’s boss Biden called you GARBAGE!”
Kim Taylor sentenced to four months in prison for illegally filling out ballots for her Republican husband who is a supervisor and held one term in teh Iowa House.. She was convicted of 52 counts of voter fraud. The wife of a Woodbury County supervisor convicted of voter fraud is sentenced to four months in prison
Jeremy Taylor (politician) - Wikipedia excerpt: "On January 12, 2023, the United States Department of Justice announced the arrest and indictment of Taylor’s wife, Kim Phuong Taylor, on charges of voter fraud in relation to Taylor’s unsuccessful candidacy in 2020 for the Republican primary and his successful candidacy for Woodbury County Supervisor.[16] The DOJ alleges that Kim Taylor “submitted or caused others to submit dozens of voter registrations, absentee ballot request forms, and absentee ballots containing false information,” including by signing affirmations on absentee ballots and voter registrations on behalf of the named voters without their permission.[16] In November 2023, Kim Phuong Taylor was found guilty of 52 counts of voter fraud, and was sentenced in April 2024 to four months in prison, along with four months of house arrest, followed by two years of supervised release.[17]"
Republican caught stealing ballots while testing machine. He was a MAGA candidate in the past running for a Congressional seat in Indiana. Republican Politician Caught on Camera Stealing Election Ballots While Testing Voting Machines: Court Docs