Trump's head could be in a jar of bio-chemicals in a lab keeping him alive but unconscious and half the electorate would vote him back into office. image:
Graph by FiveThirtyEight showing how popular vote translates into electoral votes for the 2024 presidential election. Trump's sweet spot in the 2016 election (and for a possible win in the 2024 election) is in the lower left quadrant near the origin (winning the electoral vote but losing the popular vote). image;
Simulations by the group FiveThirtyEight show the likelihood of a presidential candidate winning the Electoral College while losing the popular vote. The larger the popular vote loss margin, the less likely it is to win the Electoral College. One of the simulations shows Trump losing the popular vote by about 5% but winning the Electoral College with 270 votes (270 is the minimum needed to win). The lower-left quadrant of the graph is the region where Trump could win the election while losing the popular vote. In the 2016 race, Trump won the election while losing the popular vote to Hillary Clinton by about 2.1%. It is shown as a star on the graph in the lower-left quadrant.. If Trump wins the 2024 election, it's probable that he will be somewhere in the lower-left quadrant like he was in the 2016 election and with a small win margin in the Electoral College, probably between 270 and 300 votes. image:
Biden's 2020 win is shown by a star in the upper-left quadrant. Trump lost the popular vote by about 4.5% to Biden. Such a large margin makes it improbable to win the Electoral College while losing the popular vote.. image:
The swath of points plotted are skewed slightly toward the lower-left quadrant. It shows that the Republican party has a slight advantage in the Electoral College compared to Democrats, being able to win it while losing the popular vote. Without that advantage, the swath would pass through the origin. Only a few blue points show up in the upper-right quadrant for Democrats (winning the Electoral College vote while losing the popular vote) compared with many more red points in the lower-left quadrant.
if it takes that many paragraphs in 3 posts to explain a graph, then the graph is useless, sorry. The song writer gave the license to BMI for political use, and he or his estate is happy for the royalties and exposure since everytime it's played at a Trump rally, sales jump. Other performers also don't mind the money. I think many believe that trump is a money making machine. Follow him and money just falls into your lap.
Trum Coachella rally attendees became violent with bus driver. Trump Rally Bus Driver Says 'Stranded' Attendees Got Violent, Sent Him to ER with Bloody Nose excerpt: "I walked towards the back of the bus, and I got to the middle of the bus, and I had a slam or a slap against my left side of my face. I was nearly knocked down, and I came to my senses and realized my face was swelling up," he said. "My eye I couldn't see, and then my nose started bleeding heavily. I turned around and whoever hit me was already gone." "I think my military training allowed me to refocus and get myself in a place of safety and get it called in so that no one else got hurt," continued the driver, who is an Army Veteran.
Federal judge orders Alabama to reverse voter purge. Judge Reverses Alabama’s 'Noncitizen' Voter Purge That Caught Up Hundreds Of Real Citizens excerpt: "District Judge Anna Manasco’s decision followed Allen’s announcement that he was removing over 3,200 people from the state’s voter rolls on Aug. 13. Under the National Voter Registration Act, states are prohibited from removing voters from the rolls during a 90-day “quiet period” prior to an election."
Trump will say his supporters were treated so unfairly and that the bus driver whom they attacked was the person who started the violence.
And he will get to say it to all his brainwashed supporters, they will believe it, and Musk will give him another few million bucks.
Trump is having a different type of experience with Judge Chutkan (reality) compared to Judge Cannon (fantasy). Judge in Trump's Jan. 6 case rejects 'strained' argument about his false 2020 election claims excerpt: "Trump, she wrote, "does not provide anything more than speculation that there even were any such undercover actors at the Capitol on January 6" and there was no reason to compel the government to search for and produce that information. Chutkan also rejected Trump's request for communications by "members, relatives, or associates of the Biden Administration," saying the "sweepingly broad and undefined" request "utterly fails" to meet the rigorous standard required for Trump to be able to make a selective prosecution claim."
Migrant Farmer Asks Trump Who Will Do The Work If Undocumented Laborers Are Deported excerpt: "If you deport these people, who would do that job, and what price would we pay for food?" Velázquez, 64, asked the Republican presidential nominee at the event in Florida. Trump pivoted to addressing the immigration issue at large and criticized the Biden administration's handling of border crossings. He said during his time in the White House, immigrants came into the country, but they were entering legally and that farmers thrived during his administration. "I'm the best thing that ever happened to farmers," he said.
Trump cancels another mainstream media interview. Donald Trump Cancels Another Mainstream Interview with NBC and Heads for Safety of Fox and Friends
Migrants were in the U.S. during Trump's administration. Had he deported them, it would have hurt the farmers in addition to the damage Trump did to them with his tariff wars.
And the farmers all believed he was the best thing ever....while he fucked over every single one of them..
In the context of government aid in the tens of billions of dollars and direct government payments to farmers (welfare checks), Trump could be said to have been 'good' to farmers by trying to undo the damage he did to them with his trade wars. image:
The psyche of the American farmers seems to have degraded. It was once a group that prided itself in self-reliance and free market (parity, not charity). Trump came along and made them think that he was their savior. Trump's 2020 pitch to the farmers was that they should reelect him so that he can finally win his trade wars so that they will be wealthy later like he promised.