I don't think his lackeys are capable of commanding the military support needed to pull off #2. This would really be a high stakes gamble in which he'd probably lose, although his redncek militia following might rally to his banner. (For all their bravado, I doubt that they could cut the mustard either). #1. maybe, but I doubt it. To do this between now and January would be a tall order. Fat chance of getting the UAE to start something with Iran (Which side would Russia be on?) Surely the Saudis would have to be involved. Plus the problem that his base is isolationist. And there's the little matter of the Constitution, which would prevent Congress from deciding to keep him on, since he lost the election. I see the possibility of a third scenario: leave as much of a mess for the Dems as possible, and play the role of his favorite past President Andy Jackson, claiming the election was stolen. In four years, people will be tired of the paralysis in Washington from a president and House blocked by the Senate at every turn, and his loyal MAGA hatters will sweep him back into office. Republicans have a knack for leaving messes for Democrat successors. G.H.W. Bush invaded Somalia as his parting shot in 1992. G.W. left behind the recession of 2008.