Another fun climate change thread

Discussion in 'Science and Technology' started by Vanilla Gorilla, Jan 7, 2019.

  1. MeAgain

    MeAgain Dazed & Confused Lifetime Supporter Super Moderator

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    If you read my post you will find that the first source doesn't give the average, the second does.

    I did read the AntarcticGlaciers.org site information. I don't post sources I don't read.
    I have no idea why you think their estimates are wrong.
    Yes, if all the land based ice were to melt and flow into the oceans you would add that volume of water to the existing oceans.
    We all know water is capable of movement. So what? Do you really think that the oceans are level, like a pool table? Everyone knows the height varies due to many factors.
    Melting ice wouldn't sit on top of the current ocean waters, it would mix with it.
    Water is essentially incompressible. It can be compressed but it requires tremendous pressure. Ocean water at a depth of one mile will only compress by about 1 percent. The average depth of the ocean is 12,100 feet or 2.29166667 miles, so if it'll make you happy subtract an average 2% from their figures. (Not that you seem to believe any scientific figures or math)
    Evaporated water returns to the oceans as rain, snow, sleet, etc. It isn't suspended in the atmosphere indefinitely.

    But anyway how would you calculate the effect of melting ice joining the ocean waters?
    Please show me the correct method.
     
  2. Vanilla Gorilla

    Vanilla Gorilla Go Ape

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    You have no idea why I think their estimates are wrong? Are you serious?

    Thats what they did, add an estimate of the volume of ice and put it on top of the surface area of the oceans.

    So by their version, if all the above sea level ice did melt, to get to that 58m everytime we go to the beach there would be a wall of water 58m because it doesnt go anywhere else

    You really dont understand? Or are you just pretending not to....because you have gone decades just buying into it, without making the effort to check

    "We all know water is capable of movement"
    And yet thats what they did; add the volume on top of the oceans, its only 58m higher if it doesnt go anywhere. So they seem to be unaware water is capable of movement

    Water is incompressible? Remember that next time you go diving. Its going to compress everything holding it. Even on the water compression its self, we are talking about 2% of the worlds water melting into 97% of the worlds water in the oceans, then that total compresses by 2% 4 miles down


    But the real question I am asking is why such obvious simpleton maths on a site like that, that gets propagated in the media

    NSIDC is just the environmental sciences department at a bumpkin universiry in Colorado

    And NOAA is part of the US Department of Commerce
     
  3. MeAgain

    MeAgain Dazed & Confused Lifetime Supporter Super Moderator

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    Yes, I'm serious..why are their estimates wrong?
    They didn't put the melted water on top of the ocean, they added it to the volume of the ocean.

    If that amount of water were added to the ocean(s) when you go to the each there wouldn't be a "wall" of water 58 meters high any more than there is a "wall' of water of any height at the beach today. By definition a wall has a length greater than its thickness. The melted water wouldn't pile up at the beaches and form a wall it would be dispersed along the entire volume of the ocean.
    It would flow out across the entire ocean.

    Water is essentially incompressable. It can be compressed but it takes tremendous force. The amount of compression that water will experience in the ocean due to land mass ice melting is negligible.

    Now when you dive into the water the pressure you experience is due to the weight of the water, not the compression of the water.
    In a normal atmosphere the air pushes against your body at 14.5 pounds per square inch. You don't notice that because your body is also internally pressurized at 14.5 pounds per square inch. As you dive into the water it covers your body, and water has weight. The deeper you go the taller the column of water on top of your body and thus the greater the weight of that column. It's just like stacking bricks on your head. The more bricks, the more pressure you feel.
    Every 33 feet of increase in depth adds 14.5 psi.

    I understand that you seem to think any scientific or governmental organization has no credibility....for some reason, and you believe that simple math has no value...that doesn't change the facts however.
    NSIDC
    NOAA
     
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  4. Vanilla Gorilla

    Vanilla Gorilla Go Ape

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    That IS it isnt it, because you went 30 years just buying into these crazy sea level rise estimates, accepting what they tell you, without even checking. And now you have to defend it no matter how ridiculous it sounds


    I will just let that sentence hang there

    By definition a wall has a length greater than its thickness?......so there are no square walls, only rectangular ones, and only rectangular ones that have a length greater than their thickness, no rectangular walls that are thicker than they are long.

    Once again, thats exactly how they calculated the crazy 58m/70m, the volume of the land based ice if all melted, add it ONLY to the surface area of the oceans. Ok, I wont use the word wall, but it would only ever be 58m/70m higher if just plonked down on the surface area of the oceans and no where else


    "Water is essentially incompressible" but then you post a video dispelling the myth water is incompressible

    ??????


    Why the hell does that 70m even appear on their website? Simple math has no value? NOAA claims 6,773 scientists and engineers and yet for treatment of sea level rises, thats the best they can come up with? 25 million km3 on top of the oceans = 70m

    Absolutely ridiculous
     
  5. MeAgain

    MeAgain Dazed & Confused Lifetime Supporter Super Moderator

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    I have no idea what you're talking about with the 30 year figure.

    No there aren't any square or rectangular walls. Walls are three dimensional, squares and rectangles are two dimensional.

    When we talk about water added to the surface of the ocean, we are talking about increasing the volume of the ocean, as the sides and bottom of the ocean are land the water is contained by those areas. So the height of the ocean will increase, or the surface will rise. That's what is meant by water being added to the surface. If it was added to the bottom it would be under the bottom of the ocean...under land, therefore subterranean.

    Try adding melted ice water to a half full glass and see what happens.

    Did you watch the video? Do you understand what the word "essentially" means in this context? Did you hear the part about how much water would compress at the bottom of the ocean?
    Have you ever heard of an air compressor? I can buy one in many stores and I have one in my garage. Ever hear of a water compressor?
    In fact due to my house having a water well, once the water is pumped up into the house it enters a pressure tank which pressurizes it so that it will flow out of the faucets. But guess what? The water isn't pressurized, a pocket of air in the tank is pressurized and that's what forces the water out of the tank. It isn't feasible to pressurize the water...that's what the word essentially means.

    But anyway let me ask you again.....how would you calculate the effect of melting ice joining the ocean waters?
    Please show me the correct method.
     
    Last edited: Jun 15, 2019
  6. Vanilla Gorilla

    Vanilla Gorilla Go Ape

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  7. Vanilla Gorilla

    Vanilla Gorilla Go Ape

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    I believe that question has already been answered. Not by me in this thread, but by the glaciers that have already melted.

    We had around the same volume of ice in all the worlds glaciers as there is in the antartic ice sheet, around 24 million cubic kilometres. 2/3 of that has melted already, and yet nothing happened, sea levels rose like an inch.

    Employing the same kind of math as your friends at antarticglaciers.org, which also appears on the NOAA website, which also appears in IPCC reports

    ....sea levels should have already risen 15 metres.....hell, even one single metre.

    We are already past the point of, if all these glaciers are disappearing, then why hasnt the sea level gone up already
     
  8. Vanilla Gorilla

    Vanilla Gorilla Go Ape

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    Then there is the antartic ice sheet.

    The premise starts off with IF the antartic ice sheet melts....

    Temperature at the south pole in winter gets to -60C, but in Summer its still -25C

    Im not going to bother searching the web trying to figure out what the world avearge temperature has to get to in order to bring the temperature at the south pole in summer past 0 C and thus all the ice to melt.

    But i will just assume worldwide avearge temp would have to increase more than 25C than it is now....which would mean humans would all be toast anyway well before all the antartic ice melted

    Short of the earth losing its magnetic field, how the hell would temp at the south pole ever climb that much anyway. So how the hell is all the antartic ice melting ever not a ridiculous scenario in the first place.

    Adding yet another mind bogglingly dumb dimension to the already ridiculously dumb 70m sea level rise prediction
     
  9. MeAgain

    MeAgain Dazed & Confused Lifetime Supporter Super Moderator

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    I don't know where you get your information as you haven't listed a source.

    Melting Ice Raised Sea Levels More Than Previously Thought, Study Says

    Is sea level rising?
    Sea level rise
    Melting glaciers raise sea level
     
  10. MeAgain

    MeAgain Dazed & Confused Lifetime Supporter Super Moderator

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    Antarctica's Ice Sheets Are Melting Faster — And From Beneath
    East Antarctica’s ice is melting at an unexpectedly rapid clip, new study suggests
    etc.
     
  11. Vanilla Gorilla

    Vanilla Gorilla Go Ape

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    Man, do you actually read other people posts?

    2 or 5 inches isnt 15 metres

    So either barely nothing of the ice on greenland or the worlds glaciers have melted, or its all a load of shit.

    Remember:
    From your friends at antartic glaciers.org


    Ice on land Sea level equivalent (m)
    Antarctic Ice Sheet 58.3
    Greenland Ice Sheet 7.36
    Glaciers and ice caps 0.41


    And you just posted 4 links saying 20cm, 0.2m since 1900

    So either only 0.3% of those three things have melted, or their junior high calculations are a load of shit. Keep in mind, they copy that from the IPCC.

    You posted a link previously to a site that says if those three things melt: Antartic Ice sheet, Greeland ice sheet, all the worlds Glaciers and Ice caps...sea level goes up 66.07m

    And now you just posted 4 links saying the sea level has only gone up 0.2m in 119 years

    Do

    You

    Understand!
     
  12. soulcompromise

    soulcompromise Member Lifetime Supporter

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    I thought that this image was telling.
    [​IMG]
     
    Driftrue and granite45 like this.
  13. McFuddy

    McFuddy Visitor

    This is all very new to me.
     
  14. MeAgain

    MeAgain Dazed & Confused Lifetime Supporter Super Moderator

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    Damn it, I thought I posted a reply to this already!

    I don't know where you got the 15 meter figure, please show me.

    Here are the stats from my recent posts:
    ClimateNews reports sea levels have risen 5.9 to 7.08 inches, or 0.14986 to 0.179832 meters, in the last 100 years, not 119. And the rate is increasing.
    NOAA reports the rate for 2014 and 1993. It doesn't address any other years at all let alone the last 119. And the rate is increasing.
    Wikipedia reports 6.3 to 8.3 in, or 0.16002 to 0.2032 meters in the last 100 years, not 119. And the rate is increasing.
    ScienceDaily reports 20 cm, or 7.874016 inches, or .2 meters, in the last 119 years. So you got one time span correct. And the rate is increasing.
    NPR doesn't give a figure.

    Science reports 13.8 millimeters, or 0.5433071 inches, or 0.0138 meters over the past 40 years due only to Antarctica’s melting ice melting, not all melting. And the rate is increasing.
    Only one of my posts says anything about 119 years.

    Regardless, none of these figures have anything to do with the 66.07 meter global sea level rise figure as that is based on ALL the land based ice in the world melting...not the rise in the seas due to what has already melted.
    So I don't really know what you're talking about.
     
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  15. Vanilla Gorilla

    Vanilla Gorilla Go Ape

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    Ugh, its like the 9/11 thread now. I'm just going to keep repeating myself, you are just going to go all Sargent Shultz

    No, no, no, no

    Its not based on anything.

    If you maintain ridiculous predictions like 66m are true, but its only gone up 0.2m in 119 years. So only 0.3% of that rise has happened. Thus you are also saying only 0.3% of that land based ice has melted

    0.3% isnt a big deal, so no need for anyone to crap on about carbon footprints anymore then
     
  16. Irminsul

    Irminsul Valkyrie

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    Heh, well unless you plan on going Jesus on us, I dunno if footprints stand out in water. :sweatsmile:
     
  17. MeAgain

    MeAgain Dazed & Confused Lifetime Supporter Super Moderator

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    I don't know what you mean by, "It's not based on anything?"

    For simplicity let's take the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change's figure of a 3.1 millimeters per year rise in ocean levels since 1993. That ads up to 7.5 inches between 1901 and 2010. 7.5 inches doesn't seem a lot, but already eight islands have disappeared in the Pacific due to the rise.
    Kepidau en Pehleng and Nahlapenlohd islands in Micronesia have been completely submerged.
    Additionally the Laiap, Nahtik and Ros island chains went under between 2007 and 2014. That's an additional six islands.
    All this is just the beginning effect of global warming on the oceans.
    Your figure of .2 meters in 199 years, so don't worry, fails to take into account the rate of change.
    [​IMG]

    You assume a linear rate of change, it isn't linear. Notice on the graph the rate between 1900 and 1930 was .6 mm per year,1930 to 1992 1.4 mm per year, 1993 to 2015 2.6 mm per year, and now we are at 3.3 mm per year. The danger is the rate is going to keep accelerating.
     
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  18. Vanilla Gorilla

    Vanilla Gorilla Go Ape

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    Lolz, you fell for that.

    Please provide a photo of "Kepidau" "Pehlengand" and "Nahlapenlohd" before they disappeared....a wikipedia reference

    ....any proof of their existance will do


    Hint: Pohnpei itself is only 5km wide



    As for the 2nd half of your post; 1.4mm a year is 0.002% of 66m a year, so we have 47,000 years before we need to build an ark
     
  19. MeAgain

    MeAgain Dazed & Confused Lifetime Supporter Super Moderator

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    Photographic evidence isn't the only means of verification and if I were to provide such evidence you would merely say it wasn't a real photograph. But here's two.

    [​IMG]
    The remains of one of six partially eroded islands in the nation of Solomon Islands (Picture: Simon Albert/Reuters)

    [​IMG]
    Five islands have disappeared and another six have been badly eroded in the Solomon Islands owing to rising sea levels, according to an Australian study published on Friday.
    It's far better to read the studies that have been conducted on this matter. But there are several problems with this approach. Finding the studies and getting access to them are two problems. Here's a site with forty six different studies listed:
    Identifying and assessing evidence for recent shoreline change attributable to uncommonly rapid sea-level rise in Pohnpei, Federated States of Micronesia, Northwest Pacific Ocean (Note that some links are broken, some require a fee to access, some are related to sea rise, and some refer to articles that must be found in hard copy.)

    This is why we rely on experts, reliable reports, scientific articles, etc. for information. The original sources are hard to attain, complicated to read, and many times cost money.

    The third problem is those who don't believe anything or anyone but their own preconceived notions.
    Your problem is you don't trust any expert, scientist, reporter or media outlet. I can list many sources that show charts, facts, and figures...but you won't believe them anyway.
    You have made up your mind and nothing will change it.
    There is no further point to my listing any facts, figures, sources, articles, original photographs, charts, graphs, or anything else.

    End of story.
     
  20. Vanilla Gorilla

    Vanilla Gorilla Go Ape

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    Every link you can find will come back to this one guy, Patrick Dunn.

    So thorough was his research he didnt even get the place names right

    "It's far better to read the studies"

    Studies plural? You wont find any others.

    The "islands" Dunn was talking about are coral reefs off Pohnpei, they never were Islands. Reefs on the north and east side of Pohnpei apparently eroded solely due to sea level rises, a conclusion he just pulls out of his arse, whilst, by his own admission reefs on the west side of Pohnpei, there was no change.

    You, many others, just got duped by one guy wanting tenure

    You just posted two pics of reefs, that kind of should have been obvious

    All you simply have to do is provide before and after shots of any island that has sunk. Climate change is such and important topic, that should be very easy to find

    But i invite anyone else to google Kepidau, see where it is, what he is actually talking about
     

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