the history channel, a petty question

yes, very petty, but tell me if you have issue with the following statement that i heard from an expert on a tsunami special:

"The chances of a major earthquake in Cascadia is eight times greater than the chance of the average American dying in a car accident"

My friend seems to think this is valid. But he never even offered a time frame! Does he mean a year, ten years, a lifetime, or ever? Taking his words literally, we are left to assume that he implies an infinite time frame, meaning that there is a 100% chance of a major earthquake occuring in Cascadia, a percentage that is many times greater than eight times the average chance that you will die in a car crash.

What do you think?

 

It shouldn't be assumed to have an infinite timeframe.

He was probably talking about a lifetime, but then again these are always chances and chances aren't to be trusted to be exact.

 

Mega-Tsunamis, Mega-Earthquakes, Hyper-Novas, Killer Asteroids

If the History Channel isn't talking about Nazis, they're thinking up ways to knock us off



Hotwater

 

the death rate is 100%... the good news is the birth rate is 100% you'll be born again

 

if it wasn't for the history channel i'd never watch tv