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hippiehillbilly
02-09-2009, 01:09 AM
When they announce this folks are gonna be pissed,how much money do they have to throw away before people stand up and say enough?

you thought people were up in arms over the 700 billion? wait till the announce this..the sad thing is,10 trillion wont be enough..

Stimulus Battle May Signal Tough Sell for Bank Rescue
http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?p...ZdQ&refer=home (http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601087&sid=aOIOHVbliZdQ&refer=home)

By Matthew Benjamin

Feb. 8 (Bloomberg) -- President Barack Obama’s struggle to push an economic stimulus bill through Congress may seem easy compared to what he’ll encounter when he returns to Capitol Hill for additional funds to rescue the banking system.

Obama will likely need to ask Congress for more money to recapitalize banks, as much as $1 trillion on top of the roughly $300 billion remaining in the current Troubled Asset Relief Program, according to an estimate by former Federal Reserve economist Ward McCarthy. That will be an even tougher sell for the new president than the stimulus plan, which is headed for a Senate vote this week after passing the House with no Republican support.

That package, at least $780 billion of spending and tax cuts aimed at boosting consumer demand and creating jobs, is just a part of what it will take to pull the economy out of the 14- month-old recession. The stimulus will be effective only if credit markets, currently frozen by illiquid assets clogging banks’ balance sheets, begin to function again.

“It will take an enormous effort to build broader public support” for another bank rescue plan, said Thomas Mann, a congressional scholar at the Brookings Institution in Washington. “Had the stimulus gone through swimmingly it would have made it easier.”

Geithner’s Speech

New steps to be outlined this week by Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner will include fresh capital injections into banks and ways to deal with toxic securities still on their balance sheets, according to people familiar with the matter.

Geithner’s speech has been pushed back one day to Feb. 10 to avoid distracting attention from the economic-stimulus bill, White House economics director Lawrence Summers said today. That is the same day the Senate is scheduled to vote on the bill.

“There’s a desire to keep the focus right now on the economic recovery program, which is so very, very important,” Summers said today on ABC’s “This Week.”

Treasury will probably propose a combination of buying toxic bank assets, providing guarantees for other assets, and making additional capital infusions to banks, said McCarthy, now a principal at Stone & McCarthy Research Associates, an economic research firm in Skillman, New Jersey.

“The remaining TARP funds are not going to be enough for the job,” said McCarthy, who estimates that up to $1.5 trillion in government aid will be needed to save the banking system. “If they want to get the job done, they will have to sc**** up more cash,” said McCarthy.

Tangible Benefits

New funding for the banking system will be all the harder to justify because the original TARP, which so far has provided almost $400 billion to more than 360 banks, hasn’t shown much in the way of tangible benefits.

“They continue to assume that if you do something and it hasn’t worked, you have to continue to do more of it,” said Representative Darrell Issa, a Republican from California. “That’s the definition of insanity.”

Obama and his staff struggled last week to win support for the stimulus package from several moderate Republicans in the Senate, including Susan Collins and Olympia Snowe of Maine and Arlen Specter of Pennsylvania.

Support for another round of cash for ailing banks may be even tougher to win after reports last week raised new questions about the cost and effectiveness of the assistance provided already.

$78 Billion Overpayment

The chairman of the TARP’s Congressional Oversight Panel told the Senate Banking Committee that Treasury paid $254 billion of TARP funds for bank equity worth $176 billion, an overpayment of $78 billion. And even after the infusions of taxpayer funds, a majority of U.S. banks still made it tougher for consumers and businesses to get credit at the end of 2008, a Feb. 2 Federal Reserve report showed.

Such findings give ammunition to lawmakers such as Utah Republican Senator Bob Bennett of Utah who say they were misled about how the TARP would work.

“Can we believe what we are told next time?” Bennett said at the Senate committee hearing. “Those of us who decided we were going to take the political risk of voting for this the first time will be faced with a constituency that will say, ‘Fool me once, OK, but don’t fool me twice.’”

Bonuses and Perks

Other lawmakers may balk at the idea of providing more rescue funds after hearing of banks that took billions in taxpayer money and continued to provide bonuses and lavish perks to employees.

New York financial institutions doled out $18.4 billion in bonuses last year, the sixth-biggest haul in history. A Merrill Lynch & Co. executive spent $1.2 million to redecorate his office while the company accepted $10 billion in government funds. Insurer American International Group Inc. hosted a $440,000 conference at a California resort in September after agreeing to a federal bailout.

“It will be harder for Obama to keep all the Democrats on board,” said Washington-based political analyst Stuart Rothenberg.

Not only will they resist the idea of additional money for banks, Rothenberg said, “but there may be some sort of hangover from the stimulus bill, with Democrats feeling as though the Senate compromised too much to get two or three Republican votes.”

The original TARP legislation failed to pass the House by a dozen votes on Sept. 29, sending the Dow Jones Industrial Average down 777 points. It was approved on a second attempt after several lawmakers changed their votes.

Blue Dog Democrats

This time around fiscally conservative Blue Dog Democrats, troubled by another piece of legislation with a price tag in the hundreds of billions of dollars, may be the biggest obstacle for Obama.

“Blue Dog Democrats and Republicans will line up to tell Obama, you’ve got to do better than to say, ‘give us the money and trust us,’” said Representative Issa.

Obama has already begun a public-relations push to build popular support for additional bank bailouts. Last week he introduced new executive pay guidelines for financial institutions needing government help to remain solvent. They included a $500,000 cap on executive pay and new disclosure rules on perks like corporate jets and holiday parties.

In addition, he continues to ratchet up his rhetoric on extravagant bank compensation and perks.

“For top executives to award themselves these kinds of compensation packages in the midst of this economic crisis is not only in bad taste, it’s a bad strategy, and I will not tolerate it as president,” Obama said when he announced the new restrictions on Feb. 4.

He’ll also have to make any new financial rescue plan look starkly different from TARP, said Stan Collender, a former analyst for the House and Senate budget committees, now at Qorvis Communications in Washington.

“The new plan has got to have a different goal, a lot more for homeowners and individuals,” said Collender. “It’s got to be more than banks holding on to the money.”

To contact the reporter on this story: Matthew Benjamin in Washington at mbenjamin2@bloomberg.net
Last Updated: February 8, 2009 11:49 EST

Pressed_Rat
02-09-2009, 02:36 AM
The fact is, it's going to end up being way more than even that. Remember what the first bail out in October resulted in? It resulted in over 8 TRILLION dollars when they initially told us 800 billion.

This is going to be several trillion over the aforementioned 8 trillion. I would say 10-12 trillion. This will be what destroys the dollar after months of unimaginable hyperinflation (which we will see in the coming months) on par with the Weimar Republic.

fitzy21
02-09-2009, 02:38 AM
*pukes*

Fyrenza
02-09-2009, 03:21 AM
Oh

My

God!

One of the few things i DO remember from my economics classes was the Professor telling us that the stock markets are based on smoke and mirrors ~ you don't really BUY anything, just the "chance" that the biz will take off. You don't hold claim to ANY real property, so the "price/investment" is whatever the market will bear, and naturally includes a profit margin.

Anyway, he went on to say that if everything ever sort of "equalled out," there would NEVER be enough real property (liquid assets) to cover the entire investor membership.

*** From me: It's really too bad that someone didn't think to make a law about investments NEVER being allowed to be worth less than initially deposited. But, hey, THAT would have been fair to everyone. ::mad:

Also, when the banking industry was allowed to fiddle around with the interest rates, compounding them daily/weekly/bi-monthly/monthly/etc. All of a sudden, the financiers had figured out a way to make simple math unintelligible to the normal person, to confuse them to the point of just agreeing with pretty much anything that "sounded good."

It seems like the more confusing it is, the more diametrically opposed to your best interests it actually is.

What an insight into the thinking of country folks, too ~

they feel like if they don't fully understand it, then somehow or another,

you're getting over on them.


Turns out, they might be right.

Cryptoman
02-09-2009, 04:18 AM
I think we have to be realistic about this. It's not so much about stimulating the ecomomy as it is about keeping up the status quo. The people who need tax relief don't get it, the people who are in forclosure or close to it don't get it, the people who are running out of unemployment don't get it...who gets it? The same people who got us in this mess. It doesn't take a rocket scientist to see that we're being fucked. Let's give the banks, credit companies etc... a blank check and hope that somehow they'll do something different this time. There isn't even a solid plan as to what they're going to do...but we have to do it NOW. I say stockpile your food, guns and ammo and find the diety of your choice to pray to cause this is fixin to be a shitstorm. America...the land of the clueless.

Fyrenza
02-09-2009, 05:00 AM
As far as i can see, the money is just going to the investors, to shore them up, and make the company "look" better to other potential investors.

i've got some questions about that:

1) Why wouldn't those shored-up investors just SELL, ASAP, get whatever they can, and get the hell outta Dodge?

2) If everyone knows that it's just a cover-up, to make things look better than they really are, who in the world is going to be stupid enough to invest with them??? Not to speak of: Where are they going to get any money TO invest???

On the other hand:

3) It wasn't just the Joe Smith's that committed suicide over the 1930's stock market crash ~ it was a bunch of RICH folks, too, so does it stand to reason that some of them will be hurt, and hurt very badly, by all of this?

Aristartle
02-09-2009, 06:15 AM
If I was out of school, I'd totally buy my first home right now with a variable mortgage rate.

Zoomie
02-09-2009, 02:34 PM
If I was out of school, I'd totally buy my first home right now with a variable mortgage rate.

But the difference is you can't do that in Canada without a down payment so at least you'd start with some equity. Unlike us poor fools who grabbed a zero down first and second ARM and are now screwed.

zihger
02-09-2009, 04:54 PM
Inflation here we come,,



One of the few things i DO remember from my economics classes was the Professor telling us that the stock markets are based on smoke and mirrors ~ you don't really BUY anything, just the "chance" that the biz will take off. You don't hold claim to ANY real property, so the "price/investment" is whatever the market will bear, and naturally includes a profit margin.

That's the truth just Smoke and Mirrors they just take money and give people illusions.

You can turn in you shares before the music stops kind of like musical chairs, but if you don’t turn them in fast enough your are left standing with nothing. lol

TheGanjaKing
02-09-2009, 05:28 PM
something is up.

The TARP update plan was pushed back till tomorrow, and for some reason, they hyped up the vote on the stimulus last friday, saying for sure it would happen, then all of a sudden, its tuesday.

And now I find that Obama will be speaking tonight on TV, pushing all the shows back an hour. What the fuck is he gonna tell us in this hour? It can't be good.

zihger
02-09-2009, 05:58 PM
I keep seeing news stories about how it will give money to education.

So is the student loan industry about to go under?

Wouldn’t surprise me I don’t know anyone that pays on their student loans they all bought educations but don’t have jobs with them and can’t afford to pay the loans back.

Aristartle
02-09-2009, 09:27 PM
But the difference is you can't do that in Canada without a down payment so at least you'd start with some equity. Unlike us poor fools who grabbed a zero down first and second ARM and are now screwed.

I've got a line of credit of $10,000 and roughly $1,000 in savings at the bank right now.

If I were out of school though, I'd be working full time and I could afford to make a down payment. The only real equity that I have is my car, my savings and my good credit.

But it's a buyer's market, and I could afford a house if I was in a position to buy for sure.

Sorry about your zero down. You can always short sell if you have to. Or rent it out to make your mortgage payments.

Cryptoman
02-21-2009, 06:59 PM
If I was out of school, I'd totally buy my first home right now with a variable mortgage rate.

I'm wondering...if I'm missing something...Why would you want a variable mortgage rate when mortgage rates are at an all time low? Variable means that they can go up...WAY UP.

Indy Hippy
02-21-2009, 07:05 PM
None of this has really affected me as of yet, the economic crisis and what not, I try to make certain that I don't rely too much on Big Brother or any of the other major corporations and such. I can understand the worry that all of this is causing tho, as everytime I visit my parents home I watch as they hold up their stiff necks and deny that anything is really going wrong. I feel sorry for the "better educated" more government wise lackies of the U.S.A. because they trust their leader so much that they won't listen to reason, even when the facts are staring them in the damn face threatening to cut their heads off.

Fyrenza
02-25-2009, 09:21 AM
blah, blah, blah

yada, yada, yada

New avvy?

Too bad Rat thought of it first, Air.

Whelp, back to the drawing board,

and, ummmm,

better luck next time :rolleyes:

Fyrenza
02-25-2009, 09:41 AM
I keep seeing news stories about how it will give money to education.

So is the student loan industry about to go under?

Wouldn’t surprise me I don’t know anyone that pays on their student loans they all bought educations but don’t have jobs with them and can’t afford to pay the loans back.

Cripes, dude.

It went under,

a LONG time ago.

THAT was most of ours' first hint about any crisis ~ the fact that they woud/coud/and d'would carry those loans,

adding interest, that, with default, rose substantially,

on people that wouldn't and/or couldn't ever pay them back.

Me, as an example.

i will never be able to work in the fields i'm trained in, because of extenuating circumstances. Any loans i took are not worth the paper they're written on. But Fannie Mae (that's who was handling my loans) choose to just keep hounding me and hounding me ~ offering me deferment after deferment, with, of course, the addition of interest on the up-to-the-minute "principal balance."

What that did was make it look like they held "assets" ~ these never-to-be-repaid loan balances, that they can legally carry on their books,

that weren't assets at all,

AND THEY KNEW IT.

Not only did they know it, they decided that that would be a Fab way to glean Housing for the Indigent ~ just re-think morgages, use a sliding scale, base it all on smoke, reflect it all with mirrors, dazzle the uninitiated, and

VOILA!

MORE assets that really aren't really assets, at all ~

they're just pencil marks in an accounting ledger,

BUT THEY LOOK GOOD.

Until, that is, you find that you can't turn anything over, into any type of liquidity, in order to support your very personnel.

"DOH!" they say.

"DUH!!!" WE say.

So,

FTW...

DUH!!! :rofl: